The thought occurred to me, Bret and Maven, but I really think in this particular situation it was me letting the rifle slip on the bags...or at least that's what I think because shots 2 and 3 were relative flyers and after rearranging the bags it settled back down. As far as cull bullets go, I have seen definite flyer tendencies when a big base void collapses but it is so tedious and difficult to recover each bullet after each shot for examination that my data points are small.
I know John is very interested in positively identifying causes of cast bullet group inconsistencies (aren't we all?), but the more we try to nail down facts, the more we find exceptions or the great muddler: IT DEPENDS.
One thing I find which so far has NO exceptions whwn the bullet is allowed to jump a little is how a case will throw a shot significantly out of the group if the neck tension is less than the average by enough to feel it in the press handle.